Rafael B. Stern
Rafael B. Stern
Home
Publications
Teaching
Courses
Talks
Posts
Students
Contact
Light
Dark
Automatic
Forward induction
Learning and total evidence with imprecise probabilities
In dynamic learning, a rational agent must revise their credence about a question of interest in accordance with the total evidence available between the earlier and later times. We discuss situations in which an observable event F that is sufficient for the total evidence can be identified, yet its probabilistic modeling cannot be performed in a precise manner. The agent may employ imprecise (IP) models of reasoning to account for the identified sufficient event, and perform change of credence or sequential decisions accordingly.
Ruobin Gong
,
Joseph B.Kadane
,
Mark J. Schervish
,
Teddy Seidenfeld
,
Rafael B. Stern
PDF
Cite
DOI
Cite
×